There was an irresistible TV mini-series on VH1 called “I love the 1980s" that debuted late in 2002. Over the course of ten episodes, VH1 showcased each year of the 80s and all the stuff that defined that year: popular music, fashion, trends, TV shows, movies, and occasionally something about politics. The show was [...]
Ok so I'm writing this blog series about models for predicting the future. Now that I'm here in Part III, I'm fully aware that the series theme of predicting the future is a bit sensational. But it's hard to dial down my excitement on this subject. I've always been attentive to talk of trends and technology, [...]
Last week in the blog, I talked about how echo chambers can create wrong-headed predictions about the future. This week, I want to talk about my favorite model for understanding the hype that surrounds a new technology: Gartner's Hype Cycle. I've added emojis to their famous chart because--well--I think that it [...]
This the topic of the blog today is about hype. Trends. Predictions. If you dare make predictions about the future, you will inevitably find yourself embarrassed by your own predictions. Mostly because predictions are made in the excitement of the present moment, often when we are surrounded by like-minded people. Echo Chambers: an environment in [...]
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