We were all there. It was one of the most abrupt paradigm shifts in human history. For almost a century, most people worked in an office building. Then a couple days later, no human on earth worked in an office building.
Forecasting | Trends
The hype around technology moves faster than the technology itself. Perhaps your job is doomed, at least the job you have today, but you have time to move along to something new. Maybe something even better?
Designers of electric vehicles aren’t obligated to round off every corner to reduce drag. Designers can carve vehicles with confidence and audacity. Proof? The ridiculous Cybertruck from Tesla.
Later in the blog, I want to illustrate a completely unexpected color trend of today, but first let’s dispose of this idea that 1) color trends are constant and that 2) color trends are predictable. They are not. It was easy to point to color trends in previous decades of American culture: turquoise in the […]
Ok, so I’m writing this blog series about models for predicting the future. Now that I’m here in Part III, I’m fully aware that the series theme of predicting the future is a bit sensational. But it’s hard to dial down my excitement on this subject. I’ve always been attentive to talk of trends and technology since I […]
Last week in the blog, I talked about how echo chambers can create wrong-headed predictions about the future. This week, I want to talk about my favorite model for understanding the hype that surrounds a new technology: Gartner’s Hype Cycle. I’ve added emojis to their famous chart because–well–I think that it deserves it! What it is: Gartner’s […]